Why Economic Stimulus is Pointless

And how minimum wage laws do more harm than good. Also, why Paul Krugman is an idiot. From 'Underconsumption is not the problem':

The problem in our economy is not that we are “producing too many goods,” or that “people cannot buy back what is produced” because they are not paid enough, or that government has not flooded the economy with enough new money. No, the problem is that much of the structure of production has been geared toward generating projects that cannot be sustained.

The only way that the economy truly can recover is for us to permit these malinvestments either to be liquidated or be directed toward other, sustainable lines of production. Instead, the government tries to throw new money at us and claim that we just are not spending enough.

That’s a prescription for disaster.

Keynesians would have you believe that the problem with our economy is that there are too many goods and not enough buyers, and that with a large enough stimulus we could take up this economic slack, and kickstart the economy back to life.

The problem is that economic slack, or 'underconsumption,' does not cause recessions, but is rather a symptom of a malinvested economy. The problem is not that people are not buying the fruits of production, but rather that production is making things people don't want.

By 'stimulating' the economy, we merely put off necessary shifts in production. We do not allow unproductive firms to fail and be liquidated, and we do not allow successful firms to use that excess capital to rise up.

Economic recessions are a sign of changing times. We can fight against them, but doing so is as useful as trying to stop the tide from coming in. Instead, we must learn to flow with recessions, to allow capital to move from one industry to another, freely and quickly, so that we can reorganize our economy quicker, and get back to business faster.

Congress Rips Bernanke a New One

Ben Bernanke, Fed Chief, is up for confirmation again. Most believe he will be reconfirmed, but members of Congress are taking this opportunity to verbally tear him apart before they give him a pass.

Members of the Senate Banking Committee signaled at a hearing that Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke is likely to be confirmed for a second term as head of the central bank. But that may come at a steep cost -- lawmakers said the Fed had "failed" or done a "horrible job" as a regulator and suggested they would push ahead with a proposal that would strip much of its regulatory authority.

...

Mr. Dodd's Republican counterpart, Sen. Richard Shelby of Alabama, said he has traditionally held the Fed in "very high regard" but that the central bank's actions over the last year has eroded his view.

"I fear now, however, that our trust and confidence were misplaced," Mr. Shelby said.

...

"You are the definition of a moral hazard," said Sen. Jim Bunning (R, Ky.), a long-time Fed critic. "I will do everything I can to stop your nomination and drag out this process as long as I can."

Under Bernanke's watch we have not only seen the collapse of our entire banking and financial markets, taking us to the brink of full economic depression, but we have also seen the coffers of America pillaged to save greedy bankers from their own mistakes. And he is likely to keep his job.

I'm wondering exactly what it takes to get fired over at the Fed.

Shovel Ready My Ass

The $787 billion dollar Stimulus Bill is doing nothing and I couldn't be less surprised. Take California for example:

Figures from the California Department of Transportation show that, as of late October, over $2 billion in federal highway funds had been allocated to the state when the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act passed in February. Of that sum, only $837 million had been awarded in construction contracts. Even more surprising, only $51 million, or about 2.5 percent of the total, had actually been disbursed. Given all the talk when the ARRA was passed about the many projects that were “shovel ready” and primed for construction, this is perhaps a bit disheartening. After all, this spending was pitched as a way to pump immediate life into a collapsing economy.

The Stimulus is a complete failure. Actually, it's worse than a failure, since it's pushing capital to be invested inefficiently.

We would be better off and in less debt if we had just done nothing.

Hope vs. Reality: The Economic Stimulus [UPDATE]

The graph says it all. Recovery Plan Fail. [via Innocent Bystanders]

Government Forecasts

One could make the argument that the Recovery Plan is in fact hurting the economy by increasing unemployment. I'm not making that argument since it is far more likely that the government is just bad at predicting the economy.